With the Oscars coming up on Sunday evening and everyone making predictions of their own, I have decided to make my predictions as well (for most of the categories). Some were a little harder to decide than others:
Best Picture
Here's how I, personally, rank the 9 nominees:
1. Argo
2. Lincoln
3. Silver Linings Playbook
4. Django Unchained
5. Life of Pi
6. Les Miserables
7. Beasts of the Southern Wild
8. Zero Dark Thirty
9. Amour
Who Will Win: The winner will probably be Argo, but Lincoln could give it a run for its money. It could go either way. The only dark horse, in my opinion, would be Silver Linings Playbook. The other films were great, but knowing these Academy voters, I'm pretty sure none of them will have a chance.
Who Should Win: Argo
Best Actor
Nominees:
-Daniel Day-Lewis (Lincoln)
-Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook)
-Hugh Jackman (Les Miserables)
-Joaquin Phoenix (The Master)
-Denzel Washington (Flight)
Who Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis
Who Should Win: Daniel Day-Lewis
Best Actress
Nominees:
-Emmanuelle Riva (Amour)
-Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty)
-Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook)
-Quvenzhane Wallis (Beasts of the Southern Wild)
-Naomi Watts (The Impossible)
Who Will Win: Jennifer Lawrence
Who Should Win: Emmanuelle Riva
Best Supporting Actor
Nominees:
-Alan Arkin (Argo)
-Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Master)
-Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln)
-Robert DeNiro (Silver Linings Playbook)
-Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained)
Who Will Win: Robert DeNiro or Tommy Lee Jones
Who Should Win: Robert DeNiro or Tommy Lee Jones
Best Supporting Actress
Nominees:
-Amy Adams (The Master)
-Sally Field (Lincoln)
-Helen Hunt (The Sessions)
-Jacki Weaver (Silver Linings Playbook)
-Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)
Who Will Win: Anne Hathaway
Who Should Win: Anne Hathaway
Animated Feature
Nominees:
-Brave
-Frankenweenie
-Wreck-It Ralph
-ParaNorman
-The Pirates! Band of Misfits
Who Will Win: Wreck-It Ralph or Brave
Who Should Win: Frankenweenie
Cinematography
Nominees:
-Anna Karenina
-Django Unchained
-Life of Pi
-Lincoln
-Skyfall
Who Will Win: Life of Pi
Who Should Win: Life of Pi or Lincoln
Costume Design
Nominees:
-Anna Karenina
-Les Miserables
-Lincoln
-Mirror Mirror
-Snow White and the Huntsman
Who Will Win: Les Miserables
Who Should Win: Anna Karenina
Directing
Nominees:
-Steven Spielberg (Lincoln)
-Ang Lee (Life of Pi)
-David O. Russell (Silver Linings Playbook)
-Michael Haneke (Amour)
-Benh Zeitlin (Beasts of the Southern Wild)
Who Will Win: This is a tough one this year since there is no front runner. However, it will probably be either Steven Spielberg (Lincoln) or Ang Lee (Life of Pi), but I'm leaning more towards Spielberg.
Who Should Win: Ben Affleck (Argo)--oh wait, he wasn't nominated. Umm, then Steven Spielberg, I guess.
Film Editing
Nominees:
-Argo
-Life of Pi
-Lincoln
-Silver Linings Playbook
-Zero Dark Thirty
Who Will Win: Argo
Who Should Win: Argo
Foreign Film
Nominees:
-Amour (Austria)
-Kon-Tiki (Norway)
-No (Chile)
-A Royal Affair (Denmark)
-War Witch (Canada)
Who Will Win: Amour
Who Should Win: Amour
Makeup and Hairstyling
Nominees:
-Hitchcock
-The Hobbit
-Les Miserables
Who Will Win: The Hobbit
Who Should Win: Les Miserables
Original Score
Nominees:
-Anna Karenina
-Argo
-Life of Pi
-Lincoln
-Skyfall
Who Will Win: Life of Pi
Who Should Win: Lincoln
Original Song
Nominees:
-"Before My Time" from Chasing Ice
-"Everybody Needs a Best Friend" from Ted
-"Pi's Lullaby" from Life of Pi
-"Skyfall" from Skyfall
-"Suddenly" from Les Miserables
Who Will Win: "Skyfall" from Skyfall
Who Should Win: "Pi's Lullaby" from Life of Pi (sorry)
Production Design
Nominees:
-Anna Karenina
-The Hobbit
-Les Miserables
-Lincoln
-Life of Pi
Who Will Win: Anna Karenina
Who Should Win: Life of Pi or Lincoln
Sound Editing
Nominees:
-Argo
-Django Unchained
-Life of Pi
-Skyfall
-Zero Dark Thirty
Who Will Win: Life of Pi
Who Should Win: Life of Pi or Skyfall
Sound Mixing
Nominees:
-Argo
-Les Miserables
-Lincoln
-Life of Pi
-Skyfall
Who Will Win: Les Miserables
Who Should Win: Les Miserables or Life of Pi
Visual Effects
Nominees:
-The Hobbit
-Life of Pi
-The Avengers
-Prometheus
-Snow White and the Huntsman
Who Will Win: Life of Pi
Who Should Win: Life of Pi
Adapted Screenplay
Nominees:
-Argo
-Beasts of the Southern Wild
-Life of Pi
-Lincoln
-Silver Linings Playbook
Who Will Win: Argo
Who Should Win: Lincoln
Original Screenplay
Nominees:
-Amour
-Django Unchained
-Flight
-Moonrise Kingdom
-Zero Dark Thirty
Who Will Win: Amour or Django Unchained
Who Should Win: Django Unchained
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Saturday, February 23, 2013
Oscar Winners Final Predictions
Labels:
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2013 Oscar Snubs
So, one of my top 5 favorite things to do in the world is to complain about the Academy and their decisions to nominate (or lack thereof) certain films or people compete for their prestigious awards. Here is my own personal list of who I felt could have been included in this year's race. Many of these are widely known across the Oscarverse as snubs, while some of them may not be as agreed upon. I know I'm a little late on the snub post, but better late than never I guess.
Best Picture
Snub: Skyfall...although this is the first year in forever where I actually like all of the Best Picture nominees, I do think that there is room for, in my opinion, one of the top Bond films of all time, as well as one of the best films of the year.
Who It Should Replace: Well, since there are only 9 nominees and the cap is 10, it could fit on without any of the current ones being taken off. But if you had to take one off, it could probably be Amour.
Honorable Mention: Robot & Frank and Seven Psychopaths should have at least been talked about a little bit more.
Best Actor
Snub: John Hawkes in The Sessions. I would also make a case for Tom Hardy in Lawless.
Who He Should Replace: Denzel Washington in Flight. Although Denzel's performance was great, Hawkes' was career-defining and so much more convincing. In such a great year for leading actor performances, it's hard to place Denzel above a handfull others who, in my opinion, should be there instead.
Honorable Mention: Tom Hardy in Lawless, Richard Gere in Arbitrage, Anthony Hopkins in Hitchcock, Bill Murray in Hyde Park on Hudson, and several others....This is the reason why I've always felt that the Best Actor category should be like the Best Picture category and have between 5 and 10 nominees depending on the vote percentage.
Best Actress
Snub: Helen Mirren in Hitchcock AND Marion Cotillard in Rust and Bone
Who They Should Replace: Naomi Watts in The Impossible, and Jessica Chastain in Zero Dark Thirty
Best Supporting Actor
Snub: Javier Bardem in Skyfall, and Samuel L. Jackson in Django Unchained.
Who They Should Replace: Alan Arkin in Argo, and Philip Seymour Hoffman in The Master.
Honorable Mention: Dwight Henry in Beasts of the Southern Wild, and I'll probably get shunned for saying this, but I think Giovanni Ribisi would have been an interesting candidate for his role in Ted. Yeah, sure, he probably shouldn't have gotten nominated over these others, but he should have at least been talked about in contention.
Best Supporting Actress
Snub: Any one that's not Amy Adams in The Master
Who They Should Replace: Amy Adams in The Master. I still have no idea how she got nominated.
Best Director
Snub: Ben Affleck for Argo, AND Quentin Tarantino for Django Unchained
Who They Should Replace: Michael Haneke for Amour, and Benh Zeitlin for Beasts of the Southern Wild
Honorable Mention: Tom Hooper for Les Miserables. I don't think Kathryn Bigelow should be here, despite popular belief.
Best Animated Feature
Snub: Rise of the Guardians...much reminiscent of last year's Arthur Christmas, which was also a Christmas film and failed to get nominated.
Who It Should Replace: The Pirates! Band of Misfits
Best Foreign Language Film
Snub: The Intouchables
Who It Should Replace: A Royal Affair
Best Original Screenplay
Snub: Looper AND Seven Psychopaths
Who They Should Replace: Moonrise Kingdom and Zero Dark Thirty
Best Adapted Screenplay
Snub: There are a few screenplays, such as The Sessions, or The Hobbit, or The Dark Knight Rises, or even The Avengers that could be considered here, but I'm not sure that I would be able to replace any of the existing nominees.
Who They Should Replace: If I had to choose, I would pick Beasts of the Southern Wild.
Best Original Score
Snub: Cloud Atlas or Beasts of the Southern Wild
Who It Should Replace: Anna Karenina
Honorable Mention: The Hobbit
Technical Categories
Snub: Cloud Atlas for Production Design, to replace The Hobbit
Snub: The Dark Knight Rises for Sound Editing, to replace Argo
Best Picture
Snub: Skyfall...although this is the first year in forever where I actually like all of the Best Picture nominees, I do think that there is room for, in my opinion, one of the top Bond films of all time, as well as one of the best films of the year.
Who It Should Replace: Well, since there are only 9 nominees and the cap is 10, it could fit on without any of the current ones being taken off. But if you had to take one off, it could probably be Amour.
Honorable Mention: Robot & Frank and Seven Psychopaths should have at least been talked about a little bit more.
Best Actor
Snub: John Hawkes in The Sessions. I would also make a case for Tom Hardy in Lawless.
Who He Should Replace: Denzel Washington in Flight. Although Denzel's performance was great, Hawkes' was career-defining and so much more convincing. In such a great year for leading actor performances, it's hard to place Denzel above a handfull others who, in my opinion, should be there instead.
Honorable Mention: Tom Hardy in Lawless, Richard Gere in Arbitrage, Anthony Hopkins in Hitchcock, Bill Murray in Hyde Park on Hudson, and several others....This is the reason why I've always felt that the Best Actor category should be like the Best Picture category and have between 5 and 10 nominees depending on the vote percentage.
Best Actress
Snub: Helen Mirren in Hitchcock AND Marion Cotillard in Rust and Bone
Who They Should Replace: Naomi Watts in The Impossible, and Jessica Chastain in Zero Dark Thirty
Best Supporting Actor
Snub: Javier Bardem in Skyfall, and Samuel L. Jackson in Django Unchained.
Who They Should Replace: Alan Arkin in Argo, and Philip Seymour Hoffman in The Master.
Honorable Mention: Dwight Henry in Beasts of the Southern Wild, and I'll probably get shunned for saying this, but I think Giovanni Ribisi would have been an interesting candidate for his role in Ted. Yeah, sure, he probably shouldn't have gotten nominated over these others, but he should have at least been talked about in contention.
Best Supporting Actress
Snub: Any one that's not Amy Adams in The Master
Who They Should Replace: Amy Adams in The Master. I still have no idea how she got nominated.
Best Director
Snub: Ben Affleck for Argo, AND Quentin Tarantino for Django Unchained
Who They Should Replace: Michael Haneke for Amour, and Benh Zeitlin for Beasts of the Southern Wild
Honorable Mention: Tom Hooper for Les Miserables. I don't think Kathryn Bigelow should be here, despite popular belief.
Best Animated Feature
Snub: Rise of the Guardians...much reminiscent of last year's Arthur Christmas, which was also a Christmas film and failed to get nominated.
Who It Should Replace: The Pirates! Band of Misfits
Best Foreign Language Film
Snub: The Intouchables
Who It Should Replace: A Royal Affair
Best Original Screenplay
Snub: Looper AND Seven Psychopaths
Who They Should Replace: Moonrise Kingdom and Zero Dark Thirty
Best Adapted Screenplay
Snub: There are a few screenplays, such as The Sessions, or The Hobbit, or The Dark Knight Rises, or even The Avengers that could be considered here, but I'm not sure that I would be able to replace any of the existing nominees.
Who They Should Replace: If I had to choose, I would pick Beasts of the Southern Wild.
Best Original Score
Snub: Cloud Atlas or Beasts of the Southern Wild
Who It Should Replace: Anna Karenina
Honorable Mention: The Hobbit
Technical Categories
Snub: Cloud Atlas for Production Design, to replace The Hobbit
Snub: The Dark Knight Rises for Sound Editing, to replace Argo
Wednesday, January 9, 2013
Academy Awards Nominee Predictions
With nominees for the 85th annual Academy Awards being announced on January 10th, I suppose I should make some predictions for who will be on the short list for Best Actor, Best Actress, and Best Picture. In about a month look forward to my predictions of who the winners will be in all of the categories (because you know I saw all of those Short Subject Documentary films). Also look for my complaints of who I felt got snubbed this year.
These will be in the order of how likely I think they will be to get nominated. And these are NOT necessarily the order that I, personally, think they should be nominated in. Like always, I do enjoy surprise nominations.
Best Actor (5 nominated)
1. Daniel Day Lewis - Lincoln
2. Bradley Cooper - Silver Linings Playbook
3. Hugh Jackman - Les Miserables
4. Joaquin Phoenix - The Master
5. John Hawkes - The Sessions
-------------------------------------------------
6. Denzel Washington - Flight
7. Anthony Hopkins - Hitchcock
8. Bill Murray - Hyde Park on Hudson
9. Richard Gere - Arbitrage
10. Tom Holland - The Impossible
*Should Get Nominated, But Won't: Tom Hardy - Lawless
Best Actress (5 nominated)
1. Naomi Watts - The Impossible
2. Jessica Chastain - Zero Dark Thirty
3. Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook
4. Helen Mirren - Hitchcock
5. Emmanuelle Riva - Amour
-------------------------------------------------
6. Marion Cotillard - Rust & Bone
7. Quvenzhane Wallis - Beasts of the Southern Wild
8. Meryl Streep - Hope Springs
9. Rachel Weisz - The Deep Blue Sea
10. Michelle Williams - Take This Waltz
*Should Get Nominated, But Won't: Rashida Jones - Celeste & Jesse Forever
Best Picture (between 5-10 nominated)
1. Lincoln
2. Silver Linings Playbook
3. Zero Dark Thirty
4. Les Miserables
5. Argo
6. Django Unchained
7. Life of Pi
8. Beasts of the Southern Wild
9. The Master
10. Moonrise Kingdom
-------------------------------------------------
11. Amour
12. The Impossible
13. Skyfall
14. The Sessions
15. The Intouchables
*Should Get Nominated, But Won't: Seven Psychopaths
These will be in the order of how likely I think they will be to get nominated. And these are NOT necessarily the order that I, personally, think they should be nominated in. Like always, I do enjoy surprise nominations.
Best Actor (5 nominated)
1. Daniel Day Lewis - Lincoln
2. Bradley Cooper - Silver Linings Playbook
3. Hugh Jackman - Les Miserables
4. Joaquin Phoenix - The Master
5. John Hawkes - The Sessions
-------------------------------------------------
6. Denzel Washington - Flight
7. Anthony Hopkins - Hitchcock
8. Bill Murray - Hyde Park on Hudson
9. Richard Gere - Arbitrage
10. Tom Holland - The Impossible
*Should Get Nominated, But Won't: Tom Hardy - Lawless
Best Actress (5 nominated)
1. Naomi Watts - The Impossible
2. Jessica Chastain - Zero Dark Thirty
3. Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook
4. Helen Mirren - Hitchcock
5. Emmanuelle Riva - Amour
-------------------------------------------------
6. Marion Cotillard - Rust & Bone
7. Quvenzhane Wallis - Beasts of the Southern Wild
8. Meryl Streep - Hope Springs
9. Rachel Weisz - The Deep Blue Sea
10. Michelle Williams - Take This Waltz
*Should Get Nominated, But Won't: Rashida Jones - Celeste & Jesse Forever
Best Picture (between 5-10 nominated)
1. Lincoln
2. Silver Linings Playbook
3. Zero Dark Thirty
4. Les Miserables
5. Argo
6. Django Unchained
7. Life of Pi
8. Beasts of the Southern Wild
9. The Master
10. Moonrise Kingdom
-------------------------------------------------
11. Amour
12. The Impossible
13. Skyfall
14. The Sessions
15. The Intouchables
*Should Get Nominated, But Won't: Seven Psychopaths
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